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Uniswap (UNI) market valuation could grow by 100% in the second half of 2022 as it paints a classic bearish reversal pattern.

UNI price bullish setup

Dubbed "inverse head and shoulders (IH&S)," the technical setup takes shape when the price forms three troughs in a row below a common support level (neckline), with the middle one (head) deeper than the other two (shoulders).

Additionally, it resolves after the price breaks above the support level.

The UNI price trend since May 23 checks all the boxes for forming an IH&S pattern, except the right shoulder. A retest of its neckline near $5.71 would form the right shoulder, increasing the possibility of an iH&S breakout scenario, as shown below.

As a rule of technical analysis, the price breaking out of an IH&S structure can rally by as much as the maximum distance between its head's lowest point and the neckline. So, UNI's IH&S's upside target comes to be around $9.78, up over 100% from June 2's price.

Bear markets can be incredibly harsh for projects that have little adoption or lack an applicable use case, but projects that dedicate to building regardless of market sentiment tend to succeed in the next market cycle.

One project that has seen a noticeable boost in volume, despite the wider-market downtrend is Stratis (STRAX), a blockchain development platform designed to help enterprise businesses establish their own blockchain in a simplified manner.

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView shows that after hitting a low of $0.365 on June 15, the price of STRAX has rallied 220% to hit a daily high of $1.20 on June 29 amid a surging 24-hour trading volume.

Here are three reasons why the price of STRAX is rallying this week as the wider crypto market continues to struggle.

Metaverse launch entices volume

The Metaverse was one of the hottest topics during the bull market of 2021 and the concept continues to be a driving force behind mass adoption in the crypto space.

Bitcoin (BTC) held steady at just above $20,000 after the June 29 Wall Street open as Europe's chief banker admitted the world would "never" return to low inflation.

Lagarde on inflation: "I don't think we're ever going back"

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD looking nonvolatile but precarious as it stuck in a narrow range on the day.

United States equities markets were likewise calm after Asian trading had seen fresh losses. In Europe, meanwhile, comments from central bankers set the macro tone.

In particular, Christine Lagarde, head of the European Central Bank (ECB), appeared to state that inflation would remain high indefinitely.

"I don't think we're going back to that period of low inflation," she said during a press conference at the ongoing ECB Forum event in Sintra, Portugal.

Terra's $40-billion experiment to create a functional "algorithmic stablecoin" project has failed drastically following its collapse in May.

Nonetheless, its native stablecoin TerraClassicUSD (USTC), earlier called TerraUSD (UST), has been thriving in the past week.

Dead stablecoin walking

To recap, UST lost its U.S. dollar peg in May following mass withdrawals from Anchor Protocol, a lending and borrowing platform offering up to 20% yield to clients on their UST deposits. As of June 15, the token was almost worthless, trading at $0.005 at the Kraken crypto exchange.

But USTC started recovering afterward, insomuch that its value per token almost reached $0.10 on June 29. Simultaneously, its capitalization surged from $65 million to $767 million in the same period, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

That is despite USTC operating as an abandoned token after Terra launched a new blockchain with a new native asset LUNA 2.0, following a "hard fork" in May.

Bitcoin (BTC) returned under $20,000 on June 29 as analysts stayed hopeful of a trip higher.

Traders looks to $19,500 for support

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView followed BTC/USD as it crossed below the $20,000 mark for the first time in nearly a week in Asian trading hours.

The weakness followed rangebound behavior near $21,000, this characterizing a market still in tune with moves in global equities.

The S&P 500 had finished its previous session down 2%, while the Nasdaq Composite Index lost 3%. On the day, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng was likewise 2.1% lower, while China’s Shanghai Composite Index traded down 1.4%.

With few bullish cues coming from macro, Bitcoin thus had little stopping it from revisiting the lower end of a range in place for several weeks.

The crypto market is currently going through a period of heightened volatility as global economic conditions continue to worsen amid a backdrop of rising inflation and interest rates. 

As the headwinds impacting global financial markets beat down all traces of bullish sentiment, many crypto investors are predicting that Bitcoin (BTC) price could drop to as low as $10,000 before a market bottom is found.

While many traders scoffed at the idea of BTC falling below its 2017 all-time high, the recent dip to $17,600 suggests that this bear market could be different from the last one.

Here’s what several analysts are saying about the possibility of Bitcoin falling to $10,000 in the next few weeks.

Historic pullbacks point to a low at $10,350

Insight into how BTC may perform in the short-term can be gleaned by looking at its performance during the bear market cycles of 2013 and 2017. In 2013, the maximum drawdown for Bitcoin was 85%, which took place over a period of 407 days. The maximum drawdown in 2017 was 84% and this period lasted for 364 days.

Your favorite trader is saying Bitcoin (BTC) bottomed. At the same time, the top on-chain indicators and analysts are citing the current price range as a “generational buy” opportunity. Meanwhile, various crypto and finance media recently reported that Bitcoin miners sending a mass of coins to exchanges are a sign that $17,600 was the capitulation move that pins the market bottom. 

There’s so much assurity from various anon and doxed analysts on Crypto Twitter, yet Bitcoin price is still in a clear downtrend, and the metrics don’t fully reflect that traders are buying every dip.

A critical component of BTC price that many investors often overlook is the condition and sentiment of Bitcoin miners, which is exactly why Cointelegraph had a chat with Rich Ferolo of Blockware Solutions and Will Szamosszegi of Sazmining Inc. to gain clarity on what’s happening in the mining industry and how this might impact market sentiment going forward.

Cointelegraph: Is the bottom in for Bitcoin? The price touched $17,600 nearly two weeks ago and it’s starting to feel like the fund-driven capitulation armageddon might be over. Thoughts?

Will Szamosszegi: It’s impossible to say whether or not Bitcoin has hit a bottom. In general, I recommend a dollar-cost-averaging strategy to people: Just buy however much Bitcoin you feel comfortable with on a consistent schedule. We’ve seen drawdowns even bigger than this before — such as 93.7% in its early days and 83.4% in 2018. Bitcoin has always made gains over any four-year period in its history.

Cardano (ADA) has started painting a bearish continuation pattern on its longer-timeframe charts, raising its likelihood of undergoing a major price crash by August.

ADA price in danger of a 60% plunge

Dubbed the "bear pennant," the pattern forms when the price consolidates inside a range defined by a falling trendline resistance and rising trendline support after a strong move downside. Additionally, the consolidation moves accompany a decrease in trading volumes.

Bear pennants typically resolve after the price breaks below their trendline support and, as a rule, could fall by as much as the height of the previous big downtrend, called a "flagpole," as illustrated in the chart below. 

As a result, a decisive breakdown below ADA's bear pennant structure could mean extended declines to the level at length equal to the flagpole. In other words, the target for Cardano's price will be $0.20, down over 60% from June 28's price.

In the meantime, ADA shows signs of consolidating inside the pennant's range with its imminent bias looking skewed toward bulls. This opens the door for ADA/USD to rebound from the pennant's rising trendline support near $0.46 to rally toward its falling trendline resistance around $0.60 by July.

Bitcoin (BTC) played wait-and-see with traders on June 28 as Wall Street opened to flat performance.

Bollinger eyes "logical place" for Bitcoin bottom

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD circling $21,000 on Bitstamp, refusing to commit to a firm trend.

The pair nonetheless avoided fresh signs of weakness, leading Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe to believe that an attack on important levels — notably the 200-week moving average near $22,400 — could be next. 

"In the past, Bitcoin has been a steal under its realized price, i.e., aggregate cost basis of all coins in supply. The realized price is currently sitting at around $22,500," popular trading account Game of Trades added.

While few expected a clear bullish trend to emerge, long-term perspectives also placed importance on current price levels.

Bitcoin (BTC) bear markets come in many shapes and sizes, but this one has given many reason to panic.

BTC has been described as facing "a bear of historic proportions" in 2022, but just one year ago, a similar feeling of doom swept crypto markets as Bitcoin saw a 50% drawdown in weeks.

Beyond price, however, 2022 on-chain data looks wildly different. Cointelegraph takes a look at three key metrics demonstrating how this Bitcoin bear market is not like the last.

Hash rate

Everyone remembers the Bitcoin miner exodus from China, which effectively banned the practice in one of its most prolific areas.

While the extent of the ban has since come under suspicion, the move at the time saw huge numbers of network participants relocate — mostly to the United States — in a matter of weeks. 

Bitcoin (BTC) saw further losses on June 12 as thin weekend trading volumes fueled an ongoing sell-off.

Analyst likens risk asset 'pump' to 1929

Data from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView showed BTC/USD hitting lows of $27,150 on its sixth straight day of downside.

With hours to go until the weekly close, the pair was in danger of resuming the losing streak, which had previously seen a record nine weeks of red candles in a row.

To avoid that outcome and put in a second “green” close, BTC/USD needed to gain over $2,000 from the current spot price, which at the time of writing was $27,400.

With support levels failing to change the mood thanks to the thinner liquidity during the weekend’s “out-of-hours” trading, analysts feared that a retest of May’s ten-month lows was due.

Bitcoin (BTC) is threatening to drop to its worst weekly close since December of 2020. The crypto markets are in are held firmly in a vice grip, and the selling accelerated following a higher-than-expected inflation report from the United States on June 10. 

It is not only the crypto markets that are facing the brunt, even United States equities markets finished the week ending June 10 with sharp losses. Risky assets may remain volatile in the near term as traders await the outcome of the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee meeting on June 14 and June 15.

Bloomberg Intelligence senior commodities strategist Mike McGlone warned that if the stock markets continue to drop, then it will signal that most assets may have seen their peak exuberance in the past two years.

Could Bitcoin find support at lower levels and will that attract buying in select altcoins? Let’s study the charts of the top-5 cryptocurrencies that are likely to move up if the sentiment improves.

BTC/USDT

Bitcoin broke below the trendline on June 10, which negated the developing ascending triangle pattern. The bears maintained their selling pressure and pulled the price below the strong support of $28,630 on June 11.

Ethereum’s native token Ether (ETH) entered its “oversold” territory this June 12, for the first time since November 2018, according to its weekly relative strength index (RSI).

ETH eyes oversold bounce

Traditional analysts consider an asset to be excessively sold after its RSI reading fall below 30. Furthermore, they also see the drop as an opportunity to buy the dip, believing an oversold signal would lead to a trend reversal.

Ether’s previous oversold reading appeared in the week ending on Nov. 12, 2018, which preceded a roughly 400% price rally, as shown below.

While past performances are not indicators of future trends, the latest RSI’s move below 30 raises the possibility of Ether undergoing a similar—if not an equally sharp—upside retracement in the future.

Suppose ETH logs an oversold bounce. Then, the ETH/USD pair's immediate challenge would be to reclaim its 200-week exponential moving average (200-week EMA; the blue wave) near $1,620 as its support.

Bitcoin (BTC) could have already seen a price bottom or be “really close” to one, analysts believe after eyeing new data this week.

In a Twitter thread on June 22, well-known indicator creator David Puell revealed what he argues “looks interesting” about current Bitcoin buying and selling.

"High likelihood" bottom is in

With many sources calling for BTC/USD to dip to $14,000 or lower, bullish takes on current price action are few and far between.

For Puell, however, the dynamics between long-term (LTHs) and short-term holders (STHs) hint that the situation is not necessarily as bearish as many fear.

Highlighting the cost basis for each group, Puell showed that those who have been in the market longer paid less as a whole for their BTC than recent investors.

Polygon (MATIC) took a break from its prevailing bearish course, posting one of the sharpest rebounds in the crypto market this week.

Notably, MATIC's price has risen to $0.50 this June 23, four days after hitting $0.317, its lowest level since April 2021. This amounts to roughly a 60% gain, surpassing the performances of even Bitcoin (BTC) and Ether (ETH) in the same timeframe. 

Nevertheless, MATIC is still down significantly from its December 2021 high of $2.92, coinciding with the overall crypto bear market and a hawkish Fed putting pressure on risk-on assets. 

MATIC "in a pretty big accumulation"

Meanwhile, some of its richest investors have been accumulating MATIC tokens despite the general downtrend, on-chain data suggests.

Notably, the so-called MATIC sharks and whales have been in accumulation, according to data provided by Santiment. That includes the tiers of Polygon token holders ranging from 10,000 to 10 million coins, which have "collectively added 8.7% more to their bags" since May 9.